After a dark winter for Canadian coal producers, spring supply contract negotiations halfway around the world are providing a glimmer of light at the end of the mine shaft. As news of the pricing agreement filtered through the market last week, Canadian coal stocks have reaped the benefits.
Coal stocks have been hit hard in this recession, given slumping electricity demand in the U.S. and the sharp drop-off of steel demand. For shareholders of Patriot Coal Corp (PCX: NYSE), the pain has been particularly acute. The stock lost 96 per cent of its value since last June's record highs. This year alone, Patriot's stock is down 41 per cent versus a 1 per cent decline by the Dow Jones U.S. Coal Index.
We are into the second half of the second month of 2009 and pressure on coal prices have not eased. While the long-term outlook in this sector remains strong, thanks to strong fundamentals, spot prices continue to be under pressure. The reasons are being cited as high utility coal inventories, lower demand for electricity and competition from natural gas.
Rio Tinto recently gave a big break to JSW Steel Ltd. on an existing contract. The mining major’s move to cut its coking coal prices for the Indian company by 43 percent are a dark sign of things to come for coking coal miners.
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